TITLE: Stochastic Modeling of Environmental Time Series INSTRUCTOR: Richard W. Katz, Senior Scientist, Environmental and Societal Impacts Group, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO USA SCHEDULE: Tuesday, 10:15 to 11:00 & 11:15 to 12:00 (20 May - 17 June), CO 010 Tues., 20 May, 10:15 to 11:00 -- Environmental motivation & Probabilistic background Tues., 20 May, 11:15 to 12:00 -- Statistical background Tues., 27 May, 10:15 to 11:00 -- EM algorithm (theory) Tues., 27 May, 11:15 to 12:00 -- EM algorithm (example) Tues., 3 June, 10:15 to 11:00 -- Mixture of time series (observed) Tues., 3 June, 11:15 to 12:00 -- Mixture of time series (hidden) Tues., 10 June, 10:15 to 11:00 -- Hidden Markov models (theory) Tues., 10 June, 11:15 to 12:00 -- Hidden Markov models (example) Tues., 17 June, 10:15 to 11:00 -- Spatio-temporal models (theory) Tues., 17 June, 11:15 to 12:00 -- Spatio-temporal models (example) -------------------- OFFICE: MA 111 PHONE: 021-693-5503 EMAIL: rwk@ucar.edu HOME PAGE: http://www.esig.ucar.edu/HP_rick.html CLASS NOTES: http://statwww.epfl.ch/teaching/ecoleDoctorale/Katz/ ("lecture1.pdf" etc.) OTHER RESOURCES: Geophysical Statistics Project (GSP): http://www.cgd.ucar.edu/stats/ The International Environmetrics Society (TIES): http://www.nrcse.washington.edu/ties/